Markets › detail

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

data as of 2026-01-22 07:36 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$914−$195K$196K
Holders187+10384
Trades5.2K+2.0K3.2K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.2%
−45.8 pp
87.0%
Avg ROI15.9%
+11.4 pp
4.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.94
−0.07×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.24
+0.25×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$4
+$353
−$357
Recent buyer dominance0.49
+0.49
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-12.9%
−13.2 pp
0.3%
Underwater %47.1%
−17.6 pp
64.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %21.7%
−58.3 pp
80.0%
Bot %21.7%
−58.3 pp
80.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse