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Will Dan Barker win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

data as of 2026-06-25 18:58 UTC✓ on-chain◆ Even win rates🗓️ settles Jul 30, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
37¢
NO
63¢
YES
37¢
YesY-NNo
Position$19−$60$79
Holders303
Trades12+48
NO
63¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
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Avg profit factor██
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Avg total profit██
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Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
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██
Grinder avg cost██
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Flow
5m net volume$14
−$10
$23
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
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██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
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██
Partial-exit %██
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██
Crowd
New wallets %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
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██
Shark %██
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██
Grinder %██
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OG holder %██
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Concentration
Holder HHI██
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██
Holder gini██
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██
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