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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

data as of 2026-07-01 18:49 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K−$14K$31K
Holders299−94393
Trades3.1K−643.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.5%
−0.3 pp
50.8%
Avg ROI0.9%
−0.8 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.34
−58.29×
×58.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.39
−56.31×
×56.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.9K
−$13.7K
$29.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.04
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL159.3%
+257.5 pp
-98.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.2 pp
98.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %48.2%
−1.5 pp
49.7%
Bot %65.7%
+2.5 pp
63.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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