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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 68°F or higher on February 27?

data as of 2026-02-27 21:55 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$141−$13K$13K
Holders50−2272
Trades402+8394
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate19.2%
−60.8 pp
80.0%
Avg ROI-10.9%
−12.6 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.77
−0.24×
×1.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.75
−0.26×
×1.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10
−$717
$728
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.07
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL25.9%
+26.6 pp
-0.6%
Underwater %10.6%
−86.4 pp
97.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %18.7%
+12.5 pp
6.1%
Bot %19.4%
+13.7 pp
5.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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