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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

data as of 2026-04-05 00:39 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K+$12K$4.0K
Holders206−73279
Trades2.2K−2232.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.8%
+17.3 pp
38.5%
Avg ROI0.5%
−3.5 pp
4.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.73
−5.94×
×6.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.73
−4.63×
×5.36
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.0K
+$3.3K
$3.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.05
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL39.9%
+122.4 pp
-82.5%
Underwater %0.4%
−67.5 pp
67.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.0%
+8.1 pp
72.8%
Bot %81.0%
+8.9 pp
72.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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