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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

data as of 2026-02-08 20:54 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K−$67K$80K
Holders539+170369
Trades6.2K+5185.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.6%
−15.0 pp
52.6%
Avg ROI8.2%
+4.7 pp
3.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.34
+9.54×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×10.85
+10.04×
×0.82
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.1K
−$19.3K
$20.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.79
−0.10
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-90.5%
−118.2 pp
27.6%
Underwater %97.3%
+96.8 pp
0.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.5%
−19.7 pp
81.2%
Bot %58.1%
−22.5 pp
80.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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