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Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on April 16?

data as of 2026-04-15 07:42 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$18−$2.3K$2.3K
Holders39+534
Trades309+173136
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate32.1%
−57.7 pp
89.8%
Avg ROI22.4%
+23.3 pp
-1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.67
+0.67×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.06
+1.07×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$181
$184
Recent buyer dominance0.82
−0.11
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-50.9%
−51.6 pp
0.7%
Underwater %95.1%
+92.2 pp
2.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.5%
+13.2 pp
7.3%
Bot %20.5%
+13.2 pp
7.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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