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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

data as of 2026-02-04 03:38 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$84K+$69K$16K
Holders300−146446
Trades5.9K−1846.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.0%
+11.6 pp
43.4%
Avg ROI-1.7%
−3.9 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.77
−11.89×
×12.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.74
−12.99×
×13.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.3K
+$11.7K
$4.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.83
−0.09
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL33.8%
+126.1 pp
-92.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.6 pp
98.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.3%
+6.3 pp
75.0%
Bot %81.5%
+6.7 pp
74.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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