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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

data as of 2026-04-18 07:35 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.0K−$10K$19K
Holders402+65337
Trades3.5K−4944.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.6%
−11.7 pp
50.3%
Avg ROI2.9%
+2.7 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×21.45
+20.89×
×0.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.12
+15.54×
×0.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.4K
−$5.7K
$14.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
+0.02
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.9%
−163.4 pp
69.5%
Underwater %86.3%
+86.3 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.1%
−8.2 pp
71.3%
Bot %62.0%
−8.1 pp
70.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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