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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

data as of 2026-07-15 11:56 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.4K+$4.6K$2.8K
Holders85−20105
Trades679−258937
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.8%
+0.3 pp
51.5%
Avg ROI2.2%
−4.3 pp
6.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.75
−6.32×
×7.06
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.77
−6.41×
×7.18
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.2K
+$4.2K
$925
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.02
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL30.2%
+116.3 pp
-86.1%
Underwater %0.2%
−99.7 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %39.5%
+3.2 pp
36.3%
Bot %53.5%
+5.9 pp
47.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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