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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

data as of 2026-04-16 04:54 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$28K+$23K$5.4K
Holders411+26385
Trades2.7K−6273.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate63.3%
+24.8 pp
38.5%
Avg ROI0.6%
+1.3 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.81
−18.43×
×19.24
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.84
−12.03×
×12.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$21.7K
+$16.7K
$5.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.01
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL22.3%
+116.5 pp
-94.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−91.3 pp
91.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.5%
+1.8 pp
66.7%
Bot %66.5%
−1.7 pp
68.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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