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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-09 20:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K+$5.2K$7.0K
Holders227+2225
Trades1.5K−1561.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.2%
+0.7 pp
49.5%
Avg ROI2.2%
+1.7 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.78
−2.70×
×3.47
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.77
−2.75×
×3.52
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.6K
+$4.6K
$7.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.03
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL32.8%
+106.3 pp
-73.4%
Underwater %1.1%
−98.7 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %43.6%
+2.3 pp
41.4%
Bot %59.4%
+4.4 pp
55.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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