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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

data as of 2026-01-31 16:14 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$27K−$48K$75K
Holders392+18374
Trades6.1K−2536.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.2%
−27.9 pp
73.1%
Avg ROI4.7%
+5.2 pp
-0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×300.38
+299.65×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×273.38
+272.61×
×0.77
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$833
−$25.1K
$25.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.81
+0.03
0.78
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.6%
−132.0 pp
32.4%
Underwater %100.0%
+99.9 pp
0.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.6%
+2.3 pp
73.3%
Bot %75.5%
+2.3 pp
73.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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