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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

data as of 2026-05-18 18:25 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.0K−$33K$36K
Holders186+42144
Trades1.2K−611.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.7%
−11.5 pp
52.3%
Avg ROI8.1%
+8.5 pp
-0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×20.77
+20.00×
×0.78
Top-20 avg cost vs price×18.37
+17.58×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$367
−$4.1K
$4.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.04
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.6%
−123.3 pp
28.6%
Underwater %85.2%
+85.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %47.1%
−16.8 pp
63.9%
Bot %58.1%
−24.3 pp
82.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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