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Will the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on January 6?

data as of 2026-01-07 02:00 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$554−$30K$30K
Holders57−119176
Trades504+19485
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate31.2%
−62.0 pp
93.1%
Avg ROI10.4%
+7.7 pp
2.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.19
−0.88×
×1.07
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.20
−0.87×
×1.07
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$427
$428
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.04
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL407.9%
+414.1 pp
-6.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.5 pp
99.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.6%
+45.4 pp
1.2%
Bot %46.5%
+45.8 pp
0.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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