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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

data as of 2026-07-03 07:28 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.1K+$5.3K$1.7K
Holders102+1389
Trades843−110953
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.3%
+6.6 pp
48.7%
Avg ROI2.4%
+2.3 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.85
−7.55×
×8.39
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.85
−7.59×
×8.44
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.9K
+$3.4K
$500
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.05
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL20.4%
+110.1 pp
-89.7%
Underwater %0.1%
−98.2 pp
98.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %47.3%
−9.2 pp
56.5%
Bot %63.6%
−3.7 pp
67.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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