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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 8?

data as of 2026-05-08 11:42 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$136−$4.6K$4.7K
Holders84−20104
Trades913+501412
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.9%
−40.5 pp
78.4%
Avg ROI23.1%
+23.4 pp
-0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.09
+9.11×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.26
+10.28×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$117
$118
Recent buyer dominance0.59
−0.41
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.8%
−93.9 pp
2.1%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.1%
−4.1 pp
9.1%
Bot %10.0%
+0.9 pp
9.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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