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Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?

data as of 2026-07-02 02:57 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
3¢
NO
97¢
YES
3¢
YesY-NNo
Position$23+$23$0
Holders11+110
Trades13+112
NO
97¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.8%
+36.8 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI7.7%
+7.7 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.00
+2.00×
×0.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.19
+2.19×
×0.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17
+$43
−$26
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-54.3%
−54.3 pp
0.0%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %11.4%
+11.4 pp
0.0%
Bot %11.4%
+11.4 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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