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Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in May 2026?

data as of 2026-04-07 15:57 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$80−$8.1K$8.1K
Holders51+2427
Trades668+500168
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate78.6%
−16.3 pp
94.9%
Avg ROI-0.4%
−11.2 pp
10.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.50
+1.50×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.09
+1.09×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$50
$50
Recent buyer dominance0.55
−0.45
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-52.2%
−52.2 pp
0.0%
Underwater %72.0%
+72.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %33.1%
+33.1 pp
0.0%
Bot %14.5%
−85.5 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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