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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

data as of 2025-10-05 22:54 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$363+$121$242
Holders8−816
Trades77+671
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.5%
+5.0 pp
42.6%
Avg ROI-0.7%
−0.4 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.80
−0.84×
×1.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.78
−0.84×
×1.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$184
−$9
$193
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.04
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL28.8%
+66.9 pp
-38.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.5 pp
97.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %27.9%
−21.6 pp
49.5%
Bot %27.9%
−19.2 pp
47.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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