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Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 21?

data as of 2026-07-20 18:43 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 21, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
17¢
NO
83¢
YES
17¢
YesY-NNo
Position$239−$561$801
Holders37−946
Trades159+39120
NO
83¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.1%
−35.5 pp
79.6%
Avg ROI12.6%
+5.1 pp
7.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.41
+0.50×
×0.92
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.27
+0.33×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16
−$63
$79
Recent buyer dominance0.69
−0.31
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-22.4%
−29.5 pp
7.1%
Underwater %71.3%
+63.0 pp
8.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %7.7%
−11.4 pp
19.1%
Bot %38.4%
+9.3 pp
29.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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