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Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?

data as of 2026-02-02 12:00 UTC✓ on-chain◆ Even win rates🗓️ settles Jan 1, 2027Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
21¢
NO
79¢
YES
21¢
YesY-NNo
Position$702−$2.9K$3.6K
Holders64+856
Trades501+142359
NO
79¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.9%
−0.7 pp
52.6%
Avg ROI4.9%
−55.2 pp
60.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.71
+0.59×
×0.13
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.76
+0.35×
×0.41
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13
−$41
$54
Recent buyer dominance0.81
+0.24
0.56
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL32.3%
−112.4 pp
144.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−9.1 pp
9.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %9.6%
−25.8 pp
35.4%
Bot %9.6%
−25.8 pp
35.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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