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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

data as of 2026-07-07 03:19 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$8.5K$20K
Holders331+12319
Trades3.2K+5912.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.6%
−1.6 pp
50.2%
Avg ROI5.0%
+4.6 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.70
+17.00×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.60
+15.91×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.5K
−$5.7K
$17.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.03
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.3%
−142.6 pp
48.3%
Underwater %99.4%
+97.6 pp
1.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %38.6%
+0.9 pp
37.6%
Bot %59.6%
−3.2 pp
62.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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