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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

data as of 2026-03-15 18:52 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.3K−$23K$29K
Holders282+49233
Trades2.8K+4372.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate41.2%
−19.1 pp
60.3%
Avg ROI-4.2%
−4.3 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.99
+17.18×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×17.73
+16.88×
×0.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$884
−$9.4K
$10.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.10
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.7%
−115.6 pp
20.9%
Underwater %95.7%
+91.5 pp
4.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %53.2%
−15.8 pp
69.0%
Bot %53.1%
−15.7 pp
68.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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