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Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 13:21 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Down🗓️ settles Jul 4, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
UP
86¢
DOWN
6¢
UP
86¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.2K+$2.6K$518
Holders14−115
Trades120−34154
DOWN
6¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.9%
−19.3 pp
67.2%
Avg ROI1.9%
−4.5 pp
6.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.76
−4.41×
×5.17
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.81
−4.16×
×4.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$445
+$432
$13
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.03
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL22.7%
+102.6 pp
-79.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.7 pp
98.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %60.1%
+23.7 pp
36.4%
Bot %60.1%
+23.7 pp
36.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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