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Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?

data as of 2026-01-01 05:00 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$71−$45K$46K
Holders44−201245
Trades1.0K+217831
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate24.2%
−61.9 pp
86.1%
Avg ROI74.3%
+73.0 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.18
+0.18×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3
−$863
$865
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-15.5%
−15.5 pp
0.1%
Underwater %34.3%
+33.3 pp
1.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.5%
−32.5 pp
97.9%
Bot %70.8%
−28.5 pp
99.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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