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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

data as of 2026-07-13 20:34 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K+$5.8K$7.0K
Holders240−24264
Trades1.5K−2761.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.8%
+3.0 pp
49.7%
Avg ROI3.3%
+1.6 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.65
−6.66×
×7.31
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.70
−6.27×
×6.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.3K
+$5.5K
$6.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.00
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL47.2%
+132.7 pp
-85.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.2 pp
99.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.5%
+0.3 pp
42.2%
Bot %60.3%
+3.9 pp
56.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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