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Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 21:18 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$770+$334$436
Holders60+654
Trades270+44226
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.2%
−3.0 pp
53.2%
Avg ROI-0.7%
−1.2 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.16
+0.34×
×0.82
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.15
+0.36×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$601
+$282
$318
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.04
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-12.8%
−36.8 pp
24.0%
Underwater %87.8%
+87.0 pp
0.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.6%
−1.7 pp
48.2%
Bot %61.4%
−10.1 pp
71.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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