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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

data as of 2026-06-30 18:15 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K−$5.0K$18K
Holders344+34310
Trades2.4K+982.3K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.9%
−1.1 pp
51.9%
Avg ROI2.3%
+0.8 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.62
+11.99×
×0.63
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.20
+11.59×
×0.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.0K
−$3.6K
$15.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.07
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.2%
−155.1 pp
63.0%
Underwater %98.7%
+98.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %47.4%
−6.9 pp
54.3%
Bot %60.4%
−2.0 pp
62.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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