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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

data as of 2026-04-07 15:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K−$57K$75K
Holders450+4446
Trades5.6K+1475.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.8%
−7.7 pp
54.5%
Avg ROI0.6%
−4.1 pp
4.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×18.78
+18.16×
×0.62
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.81
+16.19×
×0.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.7K
−$10.1K
$26.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.02
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.2%
−155.2 pp
60.9%
Underwater %94.9%
+94.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %86.2%
+1.1 pp
85.1%
Bot %86.6%
+1.9 pp
84.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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