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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

data as of 2026-07-22 05:20 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$785−$1.3K$2.1K
Holders68+1058
Trades394+108286
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.6%
−3.9 pp
53.5%
Avg ROI-0.9%
−6.5 pp
5.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×4.35
+3.52×
×0.83
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.81
+5.00×
×0.81
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$554
−$1.3K
$1.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.04
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-83.4%
−108.9 pp
25.5%
Underwater %99.8%
+99.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %41.7%
−3.1 pp
44.8%
Bot %56.3%
−12.8 pp
69.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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