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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

data as of 2026-07-06 16:18 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$10K$23K
Holders377+54323
Trades3.3K+7262.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.2%
−0.0 pp
51.2%
Avg ROI4.6%
+4.2 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×9.99
+9.32×
×0.67
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.21
+8.52×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.5K
−$10.0K
$21.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.02
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.9%
−136.0 pp
46.1%
Underwater %98.7%
+98.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.7%
−5.6 pp
41.4%
Bot %52.1%
−4.4 pp
56.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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