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Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 8?

data as of 2026-07-07 02:39 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 8, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
11¢
NO
88¢
YES
11¢
YesY-NNo
Position$48−$268$316
Holders7−18
Trades10−111
NO
88¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.0%
−50.9 pp
94.9%
Avg ROI16.1%
−32.2 pp
48.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.09
+0.09×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.07
+0.07×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$20
−$133
$154
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-6.1%
−6.1 pp
0.0%
Underwater %71.8%
+71.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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