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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

data as of 2026-01-19 16:27 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$38K+$22K$16K
Holders294−94388
Trades4.4K−8755.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.6%
+15.8 pp
40.8%
Avg ROI10.9%
+2.5 pp
8.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.68
−23.88×
×24.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.72
−22.27×
×22.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$10.0K
+$8.4K
$1.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.74
−0.13
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL40.9%
+136.5 pp
-95.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−84.9 pp
84.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.7%
+15.1 pp
53.6%
Bot %68.2%
+16.8 pp
51.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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