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Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 16–23?

data as of 2025-05-22 18:48 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$16K−$126K$142K
Holders554+123431
Trades5.8K+2.1K3.7K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.3%
−8.1 pp
50.5%
Avg ROI3.2%
−11.4 pp
14.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.00
+14.11×
×0.89
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.40
+14.52×
×0.88
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$14
−$1.4K
$1.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.10
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.6%
−106.7 pp
13.1%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %14.5%
−18.5 pp
33.0%
Bot %14.2%
−18.7 pp
32.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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