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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

data as of 2026-03-07 23:43 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.8K−$12K$22K
Holders252+43209
Trades3.1K+1473.0K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.9%
−2.9 pp
50.8%
Avg ROI0.8%
−1.0 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.93
+17.25×
×0.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×16.63
+15.95×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.0K
−$6.6K
$7.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.04
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-94.2%
−143.3 pp
49.1%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.5%
−2.3 pp
78.8%
Bot %76.3%
−2.2 pp
78.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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