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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 76°F or higher on July 23?

data as of 2026-07-22 01:19 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 23, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
1¢
NO
99¢
YES
1¢
YesY-NNo
Position$0−$31$31
Holders3+21
Trades4+31
NO
99¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.2%
−54.7 pp
99.0%
Avg ROI146.1%
+103.9 pp
42.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$31
$31
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %31.4%
+31.4 pp
0.0%
Bot %15.7%
+15.7 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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