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Will Abdul El-Sayed win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?

data as of 2026-07-27 05:22 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Aug 4, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
74¢
NO
26¢
YES
74¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1.2K+$685$558
Holders20−2040
Trades55−3186
NO
26¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate68.5%
+23.6 pp
44.9%
Avg ROI19.4%
+19.6 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.97
−0.11×
×1.08
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.96
−0.20×
×1.16
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$926
+$563
$363
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.03
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL4.4%
+19.5 pp
-15.1%
Underwater %2.4%
−92.4 pp
94.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−19.0 pp
19.0%
Bot %1.1%
−26.4 pp
27.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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