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Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

data as of 2026-05-16 20:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.9K+$973$940
Holders53+548
Trades408+21387
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.2%
+7.7 pp
42.6%
Avg ROI-1.5%
−13.7 pp
12.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.50
−1.29×
×2.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.49
−1.26×
×2.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.4K
+$957
$491
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.02
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-33.0%
+32.4 pp
-65.4%
Underwater %100.0%
−0.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.6%
+7.0 pp
57.6%
Bot %66.6%
+6.1 pp
60.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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