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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

data as of 2026-05-20 06:09 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$23K+$16K$6.8K
Holders269−124393
Trades2.6K−9423.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.7%
+8.4 pp
44.3%
Avg ROI1.4%
−5.8 pp
7.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.78
−19.60×
×20.38
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.76
−18.60×
×19.35
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$19.4K
+$15.1K
$4.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
+0.01
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL27.8%
+122.4 pp
-94.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−94.9 pp
94.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.4%
−12.0 pp
58.4%
Bot %51.0%
−13.3 pp
64.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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