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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

data as of 2026-02-26 19:34 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$42K+$29K$12K
Holders367−52419
Trades3.6K−2413.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.9%
+18.2 pp
39.7%
Avg ROI-0.3%
−1.0 pp
0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.72
−17.78×
×18.50
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.71
−19.82×
×20.53
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$25.9K
+$14.5K
$11.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
−0.04
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL39.6%
+135.1 pp
-95.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.7 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %84.3%
−1.4 pp
85.7%
Bot %81.9%
−2.7 pp
84.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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