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Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or higher on July 21?

data as of 2026-07-19 04:18 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 21, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$0−$15$15
Holders202
Trades5+32
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate43.2%
−43.2 pp
86.4%
Avg ROI247.4%
+244.4 pp
3.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.87
+2.87×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$10
$10
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.06
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-74.2%
−74.2 pp
0.0%
Underwater %31.9%
+31.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %31.9%
+31.9 pp
0.0%
Bot %31.9%
+31.9 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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