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Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs

data as of 2026-05-04 16:40 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$326−$77$403
Holders9+18
Trades17−522
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.1%
+9.4 pp
46.8%
Avg ROI44.9%
+43.8 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.05
+0.05×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.04
+0.04×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$65
+$65
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-3.7%
−3.7 pp
0.0%
Underwater %73.4%
+73.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %26.6%
+26.6 pp
0.0%
Bot %26.6%
+26.6 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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