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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

data as of 2026-06-21 18:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$7.9K−$6.0K$14K
Holders156+25131
Trades2.0K−562.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.6%
−2.6 pp
49.1%
Avg ROI3.0%
+1.4 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.62
−3.63×
×4.25
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.61
−3.69×
×4.30
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.4K
−$2.7K
$6.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.09
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL64.1%
+140.3 pp
-76.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.7 pp
98.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %57.0%
+2.4 pp
54.5%
Bot %64.9%
+4.4 pp
60.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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