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XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

data as of 2026-05-04 22:26 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$193−$193$387
Holders40+2020
Trades138+4791
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate24.5%
−42.6 pp
67.1%
Avg ROI2.5%
+3.4 pp
-0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×33.68
+33.12×
×0.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×24.81
+24.20×
×0.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$163
−$206
$369
Recent buyer dominance0.85
−0.07
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.7%
−162.3 pp
66.6%
Underwater %75.5%
+73.4 pp
2.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.9%
−3.7 pp
72.6%
Bot %70.8%
+9.1 pp
61.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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