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Will Glenn Ivey be the Democratic nominee for MD-04?

data as of 2026-06-17 18:24 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: YesTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
93¢
NO
7¢
YES
93¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3.1K+$2.9K$232
Holders25−1742
Trades107−49156
NO
7¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate62.0%
+19.2 pp
42.8%
Avg ROI25.2%
+23.9 pp
1.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.99
−0.22×
×1.21
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.98
−0.20×
×1.18
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.9K
+$3.5K
$323
Recent buyer dominance0.98
−0.02
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL2.6%
+19.4 pp
-16.8%
Underwater %5.5%
−86.3 pp
91.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %9.4%
−28.8 pp
38.2%
Bot %9.3%
−31.1 pp
40.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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