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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

data as of 2026-07-02 15:55 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$15K−$11K$26K
Holders343−30373
Trades3.2K+5882.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate62.8%
+5.2 pp
57.6%
Avg ROI1.3%
−4.4 pp
5.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.25
−73.24×
×73.49
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.40
−64.11×
×64.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.7K
−$9.7K
$23.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.01
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL202.2%
+300.6 pp
-98.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.7 pp
98.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.4%
−2.0 pp
44.5%
Bot %51.2%
+0.8 pp
50.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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