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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

data as of 2026-04-17 19:19 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$39K+$34K$4.7K
Holders406+84322
Trades3.6K−273.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate66.0%
+24.8 pp
41.3%
Avg ROI2.6%
+0.4 pp
2.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.86
−4.14×
×5.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.89
−5.19×
×6.08
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$34.9K
+$30.8K
$4.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.00
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL14.1%
+104.3 pp
-90.2%
Underwater %0.1%
−81.6 pp
81.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.5%
+16.5 pp
53.1%
Bot %72.7%
+18.5 pp
54.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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