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Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on May 16?

data as of 2026-05-16 11:42 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2−$248$250
Holders12+210
Trades84+6915
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate12.9%
−80.6 pp
93.5%
Avg ROI-0.9%
−1.3 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.19
+1.20×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×5.81
+4.82×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
+$0
$0
Recent buyer dominance0.50
+0.50
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-82.8%
−83.5 pp
0.7%
Underwater %86.6%
+86.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %93.3%
+81.8 pp
11.5%
Bot %92.0%
+80.4 pp
11.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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