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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

data as of 2026-04-10 03:05 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K−$38K$58K
Holders504+11493
Trades7.2K+4886.7K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.5%
−16.2 pp
69.6%
Avg ROI1.7%
−6.3 pp
8.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.79
+2.18×
×0.60
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.43
+1.70×
×0.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.2K
−$31.2K
$47.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.84
−0.04
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-61.3%
−112.5 pp
51.2%
Underwater %89.4%
+88.2 pp
1.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.3%
+13.0 pp
56.3%
Bot %68.9%
+18.0 pp
50.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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